BDH Friday Qualifiers: Last chance saloon for WW & Taw?

Are 2 of our squad drinking in the last chance saloon today?

Two of our BDH squad take to the rain softened turf today with WAKING WARRIOR running up at Ayr and TAWHID running down at Newbury. Both horses potentially running in the last chance saloon as far as being fully paid up members of our BDH offensive line.

Before I give you my take on their chances here are my thoughts on our Wednesday runner MISSION APPROVED… ‘agggghhhhh not another bloody photo finish 2nd?!?!?’

Only kidding (kinda!!), here are my real thoughts…

MISSION APPROVED 8.45 Kempton (AW)

Whether it was Richard Kingscote stealing the race with an early move or it was in fact James Doyle ‘losing’ the race by getting his mount going too late is irrelevant now, the facts are the line came a yard or 2 too soon for our lad and we ending up going down by an ever diminishing head. It can be a game of fractions this racing malarkey and we just came out on the wrong side of it. There was nothing in this run to suggest we should take him off our list and for now he remains as part of the team. Hopefully we will see him back on turf next time out…

Now to tackle today’s runners…

BDH Runner: WAKING WARRIOR 2.20 Ayr

I’m possibly being a bit harsh on saying this is the last chance saloon for this guy. In fairness he hasn’t had the best of the draws on his last 2 runs, however, I don’t want to give him too many more chances as his flat record does give me a wee bit of concern (0 from 25). I am happy to wade in with him today though as there is plenty of juice in his price to warrant our involvement.

He actually ran a decent 5th in this contest last season off the same mark on heavy ground so we can be fairly confident the track and underfoot conditions will be fine for him.

From a pace angle he should be OK, there are pace horse close enough to him to give him a good tow into the contest. To be honest there is pace from a few sources right across the track so baring something unusual happening with the grouping splits he should have as good a chance as any. The one worry would be a large group far side (low numbers) and a small group near side (high numbers) and our boy stuck in the near side. In the big sprint on Thursday at the track they split into 3 groups and that situation here would be perfect for our lad.

In a race of this size and with the odds available on our BDH warrior I’m happy to pitch in with an each-way punt.

BDH Runner: TAWHID 4.50 Newbury

Soft ground; now we are talking! This is the real ground we have been waiting for. He has run 3 times for us since he was added to the squad, for the first & second of those runs he was a ‘no-bet’ as the ground was officially described as good. He ran well enough on both those runs without winning but from a punting angle it wasn’t for us anyway. Last time out (3rd run for us) he had Good to Soft ground, which was closer to what we are after, but it is safe to say that he was given an…um…interesting ride. Whether that was pilot error or riding to instruction isn’t clear but whatever it was it clearly didn’t play out well. Today we have Soft underfoot conditions; game on!

The Soft/Heavy ground form of Tawhid reads 113 (3rd in a Group 2) and Silvestre De Sousa back in the plate is a huge bonus (the pairing have a 1432 record together). Here he steps back down out of Group company for this first time since his maiden victory last October and the 3yo weight allowance he receives here sways things very much in his favour.

This is a golden opportunity for him and I’ll be backing him for the win. If he doesn’t convert then his place on the BDH squad is very much in jeopardy…

Ayr Gold & Silver Cups… 

At the minute we are double handed on the BDH front in both these contests, fingers crossed all line up on the day. Make sure you check back in either tonight or Saturday morning to see my full thoughts on these squad members. Needless to say the Ayr Gold Cup is very much a race I want us to nail…

Ben (BDH)

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BDH weekend review & Monday qualifier…

Time for Waking Warrior to turn into the Ultimate Warrior!!

Just a quick post from me today with a review of our weekend runners as well as my thoughts on a sneaky wee BDH qualifier that runs at Thirsk today…

BDH Weekend Runners Review…

315 Newbury – TAWHID – The ground just didn’t come in time for him and he ran as I expected. The jockeys were all reporting that after the first couple of races the ground was riding just on the fast side of good and visually, to me anyway, it didn’t look like the rain had gotten into the ground enough for our boy. As I have already mentioned we will get him at the end of the season when the rain comes, his performances on ground that isn’t ideal for him tells me there is plenty talent in there.

330 Ripon – BACCARAT – Winner! One run as a member of our squad and 1 win! We can now release him back into the wild! He was drafted in to do a job for us and that’s exactly what he did. I’m obviously not saying I won’t be backing him again in the future but for the sake of our BDH squad his job is now done and he is off the list. Good stuff Bacca, your work is much appreciated.

My value cover in the race, RODRIGO DE TORRES, ran a stormer to finish 3rd at 33/1 and landed some tasty each-way sheckles for me. Assuming the handicapper leaves him alone he looks feasibly handicapped at present and the young claimer on top is certainly a bonus.

350 Newbury – DANCE AND DANCE – He is a frustrating bugger but a frustrating bugger that will hopefully land us a decent pot before the season is out. He ‘won’ ‘his’ race but unfortunately the progressive winner was in his own race, on his own, out front. I certainly think a return to a mile will suit D&D as he did seem to have plenty in the tank as he raced for the line. 7/1 second wasn’t a bad result considering and will have rewarded any each-way backers (for the record I was not one of those).

415 Doncaster – DUNGANNON – Needed the run? Quite possibly. That was my one worry beforehand and he certainly seemed to flatten out at about the area where fitness may have become an issue. Lets hope he is back on the track within those all important 30 days…

TAWHID, DANCE AND DANCE and DUNGANNON stay in the squad. BACCARAT drops of the list with a perfect 100% record for the team. Good lad.

BDH Monday Qualifier: Waking Warrior – 3.00 Thirsk

A sneaky one for us today as we have WAKING WARRIOR in the 3.00 at Thirsk going into battle for us. Walking Warrior was highlighted by myself in a guest post I did for the Make Your Betting Pay website.

Our boy is actually still a maiden on turf after 23 runs (yikes!) but he has run plenty of solid races in defeat, including some decent performances at the track. He should have plenty speed to aim at here today and his young jockey (who is 3 wins from his last 6 rides) knows him well.

It is a competitive enough field today (for the grade) but our lad has a decent chance and on a light betting day I’m willing to take a chance on him. He is running much better than the bare form suggests and I’m confident he will break that turf duck sooner rather than later!

I may have another runner to replace the departing Baccarat once I have done a full review of the weekends action, if so I will post on here in the next couple of days.

With the York Ebor Festival rolling into action on Wednesday I will also have a couple of BDH guides available for you all here on the Blog, probably the Nunthorpe and the Ebor itself, both races I like to get stuck into.

Ben (BDH)