BDH Weekend Review: Refusing at Ripon…

Murtagh holds on to defy 1 of my Cambridgeshire picks! Bugger!

Poor show from our BDH qualifier on Saturday and another photo-finish defeat, this time for 1 of my Cambridgeshire selections.

Here are my thoughts on Saturday’s action…

Chooseday – 3.45 Ripon

Choose Life. Choose a family. Choose a f*ck*ng big television. Just choose to go in the f*ck*ng stalls you bloody monkey!!

The writing was on the wall (in the gutter would be better terminology!) before the race was off here as it took at least 5 minutes (AT LEAST!!) to get him in the stalls. They even had to load the jockey first before getting the horse in! It was clear he wasn’t in the mood for this run and he never got involved at any stage of the contest once the gates sprung open. He broke average at best and then just dossed about out the back.

Not much we can take from this run to be honest and one of them we just have to draw a line under.

The one possible ‘excuse’ (not a word I like using) is that it may have come a bit too soon after his run at Ayr last week. His record when running within 7 days of his last start now reads 470; it is certainly something to bear in mind going forward.

Thunderball – 3.45 Ripon

Was a no selection for us anyway and he ran as I expected. We really need to see him on some soft ground (at the very least on Good to Soft) before our money is down. He really doesn’t look like he enjoys the Good or better ground but at least he may drop a couple of lbs before he does the business for us on the soft stuff (that’s the plan anyway!).

Hopefully patience will pay dividends for us with this lad…

Cambridgeshire…

Apologies for not getting my Cambridgeshire analysis into the Blog post but hopefully some of you managed to pick it up from the comments section of the post when I dropped it in at around 10.45 (check comments section here if you want to give it a gander).

I went for a big price swipe with The Rectifier and a slightly less bigger priced swipe, although still a juicy 20-1-ish when I backed it, on Code Of Honour.

As you all know Code Of Honour failed by a whisker to get up on the line! Aaaaggghhhh! Why do these bloody photo finishes go against you… still the Each-Way portion softened the blow…slightly…

New BDH Squad Members…

There isn’t going to be any. I’m happy to let our squad roll until the end of the season. We have a few in there that will handle any juice in the ground that may appear (Jack Dexter, Tawhid & Thunderball I’m looking at you guys…) and hopefully a couple of them can roll into the winners enclosure before stumps are drawn on the 2013 Flat season.

I’ll be rolling out a few FREE National Hunt guides over on BDH’s big bro’ NTF in the coming days and weeks so as previously mentioned that will be where my main focus is starting to turn towards.

The NTF action can be found over here >>> Get ready for the 2013/14 National Hunt season with NTF 

Ben (BDH/NTF)

BDH Saturday Qualifiers: Choose Life. Choose Ripon. Chooseday…

We head to Ripon for our Saturday BDH runners.

Two qualifiers for us on Saturday at the Garden Racecourse, more commonly known as Ripon, with both our runners looking for glory in the same contest.

There is also a raft of former BDH runners hitting the track on Saturday, 3 of them being former winners for us and the other being one that had us tearing our hair out before we ceremoniously booted him out of the squad. If he should win the big one at Newmarket (Cambridgeshire) then his name shall never be spoken in these parts again!! I’m sure you all know who I am talking about…

Anyway let’s deal with our 2 runners from our current squad…

Saturday’s BDH runners…

BDH Runners:CHOOSEDAY & THUNDERBALL 3.45 Ripon

A 12 runner field here so there won’t be a great a pace or draw bias at play. It is a slight negative to be in the higher stalls in this sort of field size at the track but not a complete danger area and our 2 are drawn in 2 (Thunderball) & 8 (Chooseday) anyway so I see no problems there.

The pace will probably/possibly come from SPINATRIX in stall 5. THUNDERBALL did attempt to go from the front at Ayr last week but that was probably due to circumstance rather than by design and I would expect him to be behind the pace rather than on it here. CHOOSEDAY should also be sitting quite handy as well. It can be difficult to win from out the back over this trip at Ripon so having our 2 sitting behind the leader should be a positive for their chances.

Let’s now deal with them individually…

CHOOSEDAY

One of our recent additions to the squad and we get a quick opportunity to see him strut his stuff here. I only had 2 conditions for him and those were Good to Soft or better underfoot conditions and 6 furlongs. He meets both those conditions here and with Good ground forecast and no rain predicted (the opposite in fact) we are good to go.

To add a bit of meat to the bone I’ve also noted the following…

His Ripon form is solid (25244) with his 2nd best RPR figure of 91 (best is 93) being recorded at the track.

5lb claimer Shane Gray takes the mount for the first time and if we take his claim into account then CHOOSEDAY is actually running off a mark of 81. To put that in context that has him 4lbs lower than when he ran 3rd at Goodwood (3 runs ago) and 6lbs lower than when he ran a close 4th at Ripon (2 runs ago) – those 2 runs were his 1st & 2nd best on RPR figures as well as his 1st & 2nd best runs on the Proform speed figures.

I’m happy to have him on our side today and at the odds available (around 9-1 at time of writing) I’ll take him in an each-way capacity.

THUNDERBALL

I’m going to have to pass on him today. I’ve been looking for Soft ground since he made our list and yet again the rain gods have failed to deliver for us. His last win was on Soft (9 runs ago) and on that day he recorded an RPR of 99. Since then he has run 6 times on Good or better with his best 2 RPR figures being 89 & 83; essentially he has only managed to get within 10lbs of his last winning mark once on his ‘unfavourable’ ground. His other 2 runs were on Good to Soft where he recorded RPR’s of 96 & 50 (when he was drawn out of it in stall 1 at Ayr); more proof that he wants some sort of cut to run near or to his best these days.

Others aspects do look in his favour today but that ground worries me and is enough to put me off.

Best of luck if you are getting involved

Ben (BDH)

Join the FREE NTF/BDH updates list for free racing guides and a discount on your full subscription to my National Hunt service – Doors open middle of October.

New BDH Squad Members: Welcome aboard Regi and Choosy…

Sir Reginald Dwight, as he is known to his friends!

There was plenty of straight track sprinting action for me to delve into from the recent Ayr Gold Cup meeting, in search of some new members to freshen up our BDH attack squad.

The pace/draw angles were pretty clean-cut in all the cup races and that, to some extent, makes my job a little bit easier.

I actually pondered over adding my old mucker CHEVETON to our BDH squad. He ran a solid race from the ‘wrong side of the tracks’ in the Bronze Cup and although I will be keeping an eye open for him he just doesn’t seem to be giving out the sparkle of old. He will go into my own personal ‘Handicap Sleepers’ list (he was actually already there) and if conditions are right for him I will back him, but he just hasn’t quite done enough to step up into the exclusive BDH squad.

That honour goes to 2 runners from Saturday’s Ayr Silver Cup. One who most will have noticed and another who I reckon should have skipped under the radar of most…

Race in focus: 2.40 Ayr (21-09-2013): William Hill Ayr Silver Cup – 6f, Class 2 Handicap (27 ran)

How the race played out…

Ayr Silver Cup Review

We all know this was all about those drawn up high. The first five home were drawn in stalls 15 or higher and 9 of the first 10 home were also drawn in stalls 15 or higher. The field did split into 2 here but the low numbers, surprisingly, didn’t go and hug the far rail; a mistake in my opinion. In the previous days Bronze Cup, although it was also a high numbers race, the low numbers did the standard procedure of gunning it down their rail and they finished much closer to their highly drawn counterparts than the low numbers from this race did.

From the low numbers it was THUNDERBALL (Stall 1) & COLONEL MAK (Stall 7) that tried to set a pace but their bolts were pretty swiftly shot long before the race hotted up, fading to finish in 20th & 25th. It was always going to be a fruitless task trying to make serious strides down the middle of the track.

In the high group (near side) it was CHEVIOT in stall 25 that led the pack along and he held that position well into the final furlong. His front running provided an excellent tow into the race for the first 3 home (ANCIENT CROSS, FAST SHOT & AN SAIGHDIUR) who all sat on his tail before pouncing inside the final furlong.

It was quite clear that this was a race that favoured the high numbers and the low numbers really struggled to land any sort of blow.

The end result…

The winner ANCIENT CROSS had the luxury of being drawn in the 2nd highest box and as such had the ‘golden highway’ under the stands rail right underneath him all the way home. Although this was the highest mark he had ever won from he had placed/run well in the past from a slightly higher mark (100 & 101). The handicapper may well raise him above that mark after this and I imagine that may well anchor him for a bit. Second home, FAST SHOT, made a late surge for the line and was unlucky not to collect here. He has won and placed from around this mark in the past but if the handicapper knocks him up a couple of lbs he may also just find himself anchored, depends on exactly how much he is put up (if any). The Irish Raider AN SAIGHDUIR ran a career best in 3rd from a career high mark. He was ideally placed in the highest box of all (Stall 27) but had to move out a bit towards the centre to get a clear run, that may well have just cost him. PICTURE DEALER in 4th ran close enough to his best to suggest he may be able to pick something up from this mark. He is on a career high rating but is only a 4yo and could well have a bit more up his sleeve. The same comments could be applied to 5th home BOOTS AND SPURS, he ran a sound race and may be able to pick something up from his current mark. SIR REGINALD in 6th was the obvious eye-catcher. He was the only runner in the top 10 to be drawn in the bottom 14 stalls. The fact he came from stall 2 makes his 2 & 1/2 length 6th even more impressive. He actually came there with a serious chance in the final furlong but the efforts of running out in the middle ultimately left him a bit short in the finish. TAKE COVER is an interesting one. He finished a decent 7th here and he probably could have been done without the ground drying out. He is extremely lightly raced for a 6yo and he does give the impression that there is more still to come; he is one to watch from the well drawn ‘beaten’ horses.

BDH(s) to follow…

SIR REGINALD (6th) (R Fahey)

He is the obvious one to take from the race but that doesn’t mean we should ignore him. This was a mighty effort from his stall 2 outpost and his 2 & 1/2 length defeat gives further signs that he is back to somewhere near the form he showed as a youngster. It is easy to forget he was rated as high as 105 at one stage of his career and also ran well in Meydan from marks in the 100’s at the start of the 2012 season.

I don’t have too many conditions that I want to apply to him as the main pointer for me is his handicap mark of 93 (he ran off 91 in the Silver Cup). 93 looks within his range and he looks a much happier and sounder horse these days. We must remember that his 3yo season was curtailed after 1 run because of injury and his 4yo season was also interrupted a touch because of another minor injury. His last 3 runs fully suggest that he is now over those ailments and is ready to show what he can do.

1 small condition I would like to have in our favour is Paul Hanagan in the saddle. The form line when the former champion jockey is in the saddle is 2119946016 compared to 335205097072 when he isn’t. Hanagan isn’t imperative in the plate but he clearly is a bonus.

Apart from that I’m happy to evaluate him on a race by race basis.

Conditions – Happy to take him on a race by race basis. Hanagan a serious plus but not a necessity. His handicap mark of 93 looks well within him and a big field handicap at 6 or 6 & 1/2 furlongs is a feasible target.

CHOOSEDAY (12th) (K Ryan)

This 4yo is a less obvious choice but it shouldn’t go unnoticed that he actually finished 2nd of the low drawn horses. He made a strong move to the front around the 1.5 furlong mark but his effort petered out on the unfavorable part of the track.

Pat Smullen was an interesting booking on the day and they obviously expected the horse to go well, only to be undone by the poor draw. This was actually the 2nd race in a row where he was berthed in an unfavorable stall, he was drawn on the wrong side of the consolation Great St Wilfrid Stakes at Ripon last time out but still managed to run a solid race in 4th. The race before that he fired in a career best on the figures in the Stewards Cup consolation race at Glorious Goodwood, giving clear signs that he is still a horse on the up.

Conditions wise we don’t want him on anything too testing.

His Soft & Heavy ground form reads 53577

compared to…

His Good to Soft or better form of 1343024214277340

He does handle cut but the signs are that he is much better without it.

I would also rather have him over 6f than 5f…

5 furlong form is 6 runs | 0 wins | 1 placed effort

6 furlong form is 15 runs | 2 wins | 5 placed efforts

Apart from those small points of note he is another we can probably play race by race. He is only a 4yo and seems to still be on the upgrade, he just needs a decent draw to show what he can do.

Conditions – Happy to take him on a race by race basis although would prefer to see him on Good to Soft or better and over 6 furlongs.

SIR REGINALD & CHOOSEDAY now both enter my Proform ‘Horse Watcher’ tool and I will post on the Blog when they are due to run next.

Ben (BDH)

p.s. I’m really starting to dig into the National Hunt action now behind the scenes. Make sure YOU don’t miss out on the action by joining the FREE updates list here >>> FREE NTF Updates List

Free horse racing guides are readily available with more currently in construction as I build up to NTF National Hunt 2013/14!

p.p.s One of the Handicap Sleepers on the Free guide just ran at Carlisle (Tuesday 24th depending on when you are reading this) in the shape of ROKER PARK. Everything looked in place for a decent run…but he ran a stinker! …so I had a closer look. He was drawn in stall 10 of 10. Runners in stall 10 over 5f & 6f at Carlisle since 2007… 3 wins from 91 starts for a 3% S/R! They do win quite a bit less than they should as well. Watching the race it was clear that Roker Park was up against it and he could never get into a position from that draw.

Carlisle is one of those sprint tracks that pretends it is a straight…but is far from it! Bit like Beverley and places like that. You are turning a fair bit and if you are stuck out wide you really are up against it. On the face of it ROKER PARK ran a stinker, digging a bit deeper I’m more than willing to cut him a bit of slack for that run.

…also I should have checked this before I backed him! Yes my money was down and subsequently lost as RP failed to get anywhere from that devil of a stall that is stall 10! Still, lesson learned, notes taken, we move on poorer but all the wiser!

BDH Saturday runners: Dunny ready to do the business?

Google tells me this scary little fella is also called Dunny!?

Two of our BDH squad take to the field on Saturday so no time for any wiffle-waffle, lets get stuck into my thoughts on them both…

BDH Runner: DUNGANNON – 205 Sandown

Fist things first we have him back on the track within that all important 28 day window; 17 days since his last start will do just dandy.

Back down at 5 furlongs is also a good move in my opinion; that will do just fine for me as well.

Ground should be OK and track configuration should also be within the ballpark.

Draw, however, I have a wee question mark. I don’t think middle is ideal in large fields at Sandown over the 5f. To be honest I think straight track blitzes at Sandown are tricky, they don’t always play out how I expect them to. However, lets take it that this one will play out like normal I have the pace coming from the high stalls (boxes 12 & 13) and that should, hopefully, play to the hands of our boy DUNGANNON.

At the projected 10-1 odds I’ll have a bit of him each-way. He is well handicapped and is returning within the correct time-frame; it’s time for Dunny to do the business for us!

BDH Runner: THUNDERBALL- 255 Chester

In my own words…

“Essentially we are looking for 6 furlongs and soft” – Here we have 7 and 1/2 furlongs and Good!

“He is yet to prove he is up to winning a really valuable contest (20k+) but if he gets his conditions it would not be hard to see him running well in such a race” – This is worth 28k to the winner and he doesn’t look to have conditions!

“4 of his 5 turf wins have come on a straight track and although that condition isn’t a necessity it probably is preferable” – This is round the tight Left-Handed Chester track!

His stall draw would be average as well.

Yeah I think I will leave him here to be honest!!

If he somehow wins this you will probably hear my yells of “How the F**K did he win that” from wherever you are in the universe!!

Best of luck if you are getting involved.

FREE BDH Handicap Sleepers Guide

Hopefully you all managed to download the free guide I sent out yesterday. If you haven’t yet then find yesterday’s email that I sent out and grab the guide now, it’s well worth your time (if I don’t say so myself).

As you will have noticed there were 2 qualifiers from the guide running on Friday but neither of them were running under preferred conditions (so no bet). Both soundly beaten as well so an even bigger and better price on offer (hopefully!) when they do meet their ideal conditions next time.

If you want to grab this in-depth and FREE guide (all 21 pages of it!!) then head to the following page and pop your details into the sign-up form…

>>>Register for your FREE BDH Handicap Sleepers Guide

*The FREE Guide is on the FREE BDH Guides page not the Free NTF Guides page. Both links will be sent to you in the same email.

Cheers – Ben (BDH)

BDH weekend review & Monday qualifier…

Time for Waking Warrior to turn into the Ultimate Warrior!!

Just a quick post from me today with a review of our weekend runners as well as my thoughts on a sneaky wee BDH qualifier that runs at Thirsk today…

BDH Weekend Runners Review…

315 Newbury – TAWHID – The ground just didn’t come in time for him and he ran as I expected. The jockeys were all reporting that after the first couple of races the ground was riding just on the fast side of good and visually, to me anyway, it didn’t look like the rain had gotten into the ground enough for our boy. As I have already mentioned we will get him at the end of the season when the rain comes, his performances on ground that isn’t ideal for him tells me there is plenty talent in there.

330 Ripon – BACCARAT – Winner! One run as a member of our squad and 1 win! We can now release him back into the wild! He was drafted in to do a job for us and that’s exactly what he did. I’m obviously not saying I won’t be backing him again in the future but for the sake of our BDH squad his job is now done and he is off the list. Good stuff Bacca, your work is much appreciated.

My value cover in the race, RODRIGO DE TORRES, ran a stormer to finish 3rd at 33/1 and landed some tasty each-way sheckles for me. Assuming the handicapper leaves him alone he looks feasibly handicapped at present and the young claimer on top is certainly a bonus.

350 Newbury – DANCE AND DANCE – He is a frustrating bugger but a frustrating bugger that will hopefully land us a decent pot before the season is out. He ‘won’ ‘his’ race but unfortunately the progressive winner was in his own race, on his own, out front. I certainly think a return to a mile will suit D&D as he did seem to have plenty in the tank as he raced for the line. 7/1 second wasn’t a bad result considering and will have rewarded any each-way backers (for the record I was not one of those).

415 Doncaster – DUNGANNON – Needed the run? Quite possibly. That was my one worry beforehand and he certainly seemed to flatten out at about the area where fitness may have become an issue. Lets hope he is back on the track within those all important 30 days…

TAWHID, DANCE AND DANCE and DUNGANNON stay in the squad. BACCARAT drops of the list with a perfect 100% record for the team. Good lad.

BDH Monday Qualifier: Waking Warrior – 3.00 Thirsk

A sneaky one for us today as we have WAKING WARRIOR in the 3.00 at Thirsk going into battle for us. Walking Warrior was highlighted by myself in a guest post I did for the Make Your Betting Pay website.

Our boy is actually still a maiden on turf after 23 runs (yikes!) but he has run plenty of solid races in defeat, including some decent performances at the track. He should have plenty speed to aim at here today and his young jockey (who is 3 wins from his last 6 rides) knows him well.

It is a competitive enough field today (for the grade) but our lad has a decent chance and on a light betting day I’m willing to take a chance on him. He is running much better than the bare form suggests and I’m confident he will break that turf duck sooner rather than later!

I may have another runner to replace the departing Baccarat once I have done a full review of the weekends action, if so I will post on here in the next couple of days.

With the York Ebor Festival rolling into action on Wednesday I will also have a couple of BDH guides available for you all here on the Blog, probably the Nunthorpe and the Ebor itself, both races I like to get stuck into.

Ben (BDH)

Will Baccarat have us Dancing & Dancing in the Great St Wilfrid?

BDH going in mob-handed in search of Saturday winners!

A busy day for us this Saturday with no less than 4 of our BDH offensive line taking up attacking duties across the length and breadth of the country. In fact it is an hour of power blitz for us with our first race at 3.15, closely followed by the 3.30, the 3.50 and finally the 4.15

So no time for dilly dallying, I’m just going to crack straight into the action and take you through our qualifiers in chronological order.

Starting at Newbury…

BDH Runner: TAWHID 3.15 Newbury

The 3yo steps out of his own age group for the first time here and although this wouldn’t be the toughest Group 2 on paper a case could probably be made for all 5 of them.

My main concern, however, is the Good to Firm ground that is forecast. I have already expressed my wish for at least Good to Soft for this lad and with that in mind I’m considering swerving him here today.

There is some rain forecast at the track but I would be surprised if it was enough to get properly into the ground. As always I will keep my eye on proceedings but as things stand I don’t think I’ll be getting involved with him here.

*Note – I’m reading conflicting going descriptions at the time of writing. It looks like it has softened to Good (from Good to Firm) so I would actually be leaning towards a bet if the softening continued. Best I can say is keep your eye on things, it’s a winnable race for him if the ground comes his way…

BDH Runner: BACCARAT 3.30 Ripon – GREAT ST WILFRID STAKES

The big sprint of the day and Ripon’s most valuable contest of the season.

It’s a large 20 runner field so I’m slightly disappointed that our BDH runner is 11/2 favourite (I would prefer a wee bit more juice in the price) but there is no doubt he is a highly progressive horse, with course and distance form, form on the *predicted* ground and a jockey that knows him well. In short I will be putting my money where my mouth is with BACCARAT.

With a large field going to post and a race that throws up some fairly strong race trends I think it’s wise to dig a bit deeper and to see if there is any value lurking a bit deeper in the pack as back-up to our boy.

Starting with, naturally, the pace angle. Before I post up the BDH pace map I did a bit of digging around in my Proform database and had a look to see if there was any normal draw bias over the 6f trip at Ripon. I know I always bang on about the draw bias coming from the pace bias but there are occasions when 1 side of the track is favourable over the other; the 6f at Ripon is potentially one of those occasions.

I wanted to look further than just where the winners of this specific race came from so I had a look at all 6f races at the track with 13 or more runners since 2007. Here is what I found…

Since the start of 2007 there has been 52 races over 6f at Ripon with 13 or more runners and only 1 of those races has been won by a horse drawn in stall 15 or above (88 have tried, making it 1/88) in fact if you go back just another 2 years the figures then read 2/157; it certainly seems the near side rail is a difficult place to win from in large fields at Ripon.

To balance that stat out, however, we should consider that the first 3 home in the 2011 renewal of this race were drawn 17-20-19. So whilst it may be hard to win from the high stalls it isn’t completely impossible. Clear? OK!

Lets get this years pace map up…

Great St WilfThe runners for this race generally split into 2 groups and DR RED EYE looks the pivotal runners here from stall 15. If he stays high then, in theory, the high numbers have a squeak, if he barrels down to the low numbers then the high stalls could be left…um…high and dry!

Even if he does stay high the low to middle stalls look to hold marginally more pace and with my previous Ripon 6f stat in mind I’m happy to concentrate on low to middle. Handily that includes our BDH runner BACCARAT; tick.

Keeping to the pace angle again recent renewals of this race have told us that it’s difficult to come from out the back to win the race. The past 15 renewals have seen 4 front-runners, 9 close to the pace runners and only 2 hold-up runners succeed. It’s not impossible to win from out the back but it’s certainly preferable to be making or sitting close to the pace. Something worth considering in the analysis. Given a good start, unlike his last run, BACCARAT should run close to the pace or at the very least midfield/close to the pace; tick.

The race trends for this handicap have been a decent pointer in recent seasons and to help us narrow the field (oh…hold on that’s my other site isn’t it!?!) I’ve applied the following set to this years runners…

1              15/15 were rated 101 or less

2              15/15 had 3+ starts in current season

3              13/15 ran within the past 21 days

4              12/15 had recorded a top 3 finish in 1 of their last 3 runs

5              12/15 had 3+ career victories

6              12/15 recorded at top 7 finish LTO

7              11/15 ran over 6f LTO

…and here is how that works out when applied to the 20 strong line-up…

Great St Wilfred Trends

BACCARAT is one of 6 that top the board with full marks 7 from 7; tick.

The only other thing we seriously need to consider is that there is heavy rain forecast for the track. Whether it arrives or not is another matter but we should probably be looking for runners with Good and softer leanings rather than Good and faster leanings.

Outwith our BDH runner SPINATRIX is a hard to pass over, he looks to have conditions in his favour and is yet to finish unplaced from 7 starts at the track, including 3 victories. I don’t really want to be loading up at the front end of the market though so I’m going to look for value elsewhere.

The same comment would probably apply to LOUIS THE PIOUS. He is in fine shape coming into this and should be there or there abouts but again I don’t really want to be loading up on the front end of the market.

For a value I’m going to look to the well handicapped RODRIGO DE TORRES. His last 3 bits of form read well and the 5lb claim from his young jockey puts him on a pretty tasty mark. He hasn’t actually raced in as many handicaps as you would think and down at this 6f trip I think there is plenty scope for him. He may also get an easy enough lead out front, if they decide to attack from the business end, and that could make him pretty dangerous.

We have BACCARAT on side through our BDH squad and from a personal angle I’m going to take RODRIGO DE TORRES into the fold for a bit of value cover. SPINATRIX and/or LOUIS THE PIOUS both look significant dangers but for now I’ll settle with BACCA and RODDY.

BDH Runner: DANCE AND DANCE 3.50 Newbury

He failed to fire with any authority at Goodwood and Ryan Moore jumps ship here…well to be fair he jumps plane as he is riding at Arlington across the pond instead of staying here and riding in good old blighty! Kieren Fallon is an able enough deputy though and I’m happy enough on that score.

It’s a strange looking race on the pace front as their doesn’t appear too much speed on the go, however Confessor drawn in the box next to D&D may well set the pace, which of course would be a bonus to our lad. If he doesn’t go on from the front it could be a tactical, straight race affair and that wouldn’t be ideal for us.

On the plus side D&D does look one of the better handicapped runners in the race with the danger(s) probably coming from the clutch of unexposed 3/4yo’s in the field.

The fact is that Dance And Dance is an attractively handicapped proposition and with that in mind I’m happy to pitch in with him here, despite the small niggle surrounding the pace.

BDH Runner: DUNGANNON 4.15 Doncaster

A 5f blitz with plenty of pace happening round about him should be just what Dungannon is after. My one query is that he has been off the track for 43 days and ideally I would have wanted him back within the month. Apart from that he looks well placed to strike.

I’m happy to have him on our side today but a below par effort won’t put me off him going forward from here. This is his first run in the BDH silks and it could be this is a bit of a tune up for a future target but with plenty of pace around him I’m loathe to leave him out of calculations today.

Phew! Quite an hour of power that!

In review we have…

315 Newbury – TAWHID – Tentatively a no bet but if Good to Firm is missing from the going description and we are heading towards Good to Soft then I’m on!

330 Ripon – BACCARAT – I’m on. Unexposed on a track he likes and plenty to like about his chances. A value alternative in RODRIGO DE TORRES to cover things for myself.

350 Newbury – DANCE AND DANCE – Given another chance after his Goodwood mis-fire. I’m on. 

415 Doncaster – DUNGANNON – Not 100% ideal conditions but has pace to aim at and talented claimer puts him on an even more tempting mark. I’m on.

No doubt it could be a Sh!t or glory day for us here but hopefully at least one of our warriors can land the money for us.

…and if that wasn’t enough to keep us entertained…

Footie season kicks off! 

OK, I know, I’m Scottish and our season kicked off a couple weeks back but the thought of playing the fantasy football leagues with the Scottish Premier Division to choose your squad from…. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Nah, you’re alright, I’ll hang fire for the proper stuff thanks!

So with that in mind, and if you haven’t already, then fire yourself over to http://fantasy.premierleague.com, pick your team and then enter it into my NTF Champions League. It’s free to enter a team and there are prizes to be won in the overall game. There are no prizes to be won by entering my own league but you do get the honour of being the winner of the NTF Champions League; some would say that is a prize money can’t buy!!

Once you have picked your team, pop along to the ‘LEAGUES’ tab and enter the following code to join my league – 1170033-369849.

All a bit of fun to keep us entertained throughout the footie season and you never know you might land some prizes along the way.

Sky Bet Super-6

Today also brings the resumption of the Sky Bet Super 6 competition.  The concept is essentially ‘guess 6 correct scores and win loadsa money!’ (and its free to enter). You just need a Skybet account and you can get cracking. If you have one then fire away, if not then sign up for one now! You don’t need to deposit any money as the Super 6 is free to play, cant say fairer than that!

The tag-line that SkyBet use for this weekly competition is ‘Predict 6 scores to win £250,000‘. For a free competition that takes about 2 minutes to enter it really is a no-brainer! I’M IN JEFF!

If you need a SkyBet account then click on the following link and get set up >>> Sky Bet sign-up

Once you have an account you will find the Super 6 details here.

I’ve never even been vaguely close to landing the main prize but that won’t stop me trying each weekend. You miss 100% of the shots you never take, as a great ice hockey player once said…

Best of luck on a busy day of BDH racing and…well…sport in general!

Ben (BDH)