BDH Qualifier: “They call him the winner who takes all”…

BDH Qualifier: “They call him the winner who takes all”…

…well hopefully that’s what we will be calling him at the end of the day anyway!!

Yes, we have a BDH qualifier hitting the track at Doncaster on day 2 of the St Leger meeting and for those of you that are not James Bond/Tom Jones fans and haven’t guessed who it is from the lyrical reference in the title it’s…

BDH Runner: THUNDERBALL 4.25 Doncaster (12-09-13)

My stipulations for this guy were 6 furlongs and Soft going with small preferences for a straight track and a race worth less than 20k to the winner. Here he meets 3 of those conditions (6f, straight track & race worth less than 20k) and won’t be far off meeting the ground requirements. The ground is described as Good to Soft for day 2 of the 2013 St Leger meeting and there is rain forecast for Wednesday night and Thursday evening, all in all it should lead to damp-ish conditions and ground with some sort of cut in it, perfect for our BDH warrior. Obviously the more rain the better for our lad.

On the pace/draw side of thing we are berthed in a handy slot in stall 16. The pace looks middle to high and that puts us bang there.

Here is the pace map for the 6f contest…

dONCASTER 12-09

There looks very little in the way of pace-setters down low so that should play to the hooves of those drawn middle to high, of which THUNDERBALL is one of them.

What else do we have in our favour? Well he has been dropped 2lbs since his last run at Chester. He ran poorly there but that was under conditions that were not anywhere near optimum; drop in the weights is very welcome, thank you very much Mr Handicapper.

Tom Queally gets the ride here and he gets on well with the 7yo; form figures of 01681 when teaming up and the horse’s best RPR figure of 99 was recorded with Queally on board.

THUNDERBALL is also a dual Course & Distance winner so we can be happy with the fact that he acts on the track.

I will be backing this BDH warrior here. He looks to have plenty in his favour and as already mentioned any further softening of the ground will only aid his cause.  With 22 runners set to lash down the Donny straight I will probably look to have a bit of E/W cover on him.

The one downside is that he looks like he is already being backed (I’m writing this at 6.30 on Wednesday evening!). First prices were favourable, there was 16-1 being banded about by a few of the bookmakers. However, he is being cut across the board and at time of writing 12-1 looks the best price available. I actually witnessed Bet365 cut him from 16-1 to 10-1 in one vicious swipe!! Paddy Power are even going as low as 9-1! Tight gits!

I’ll leave you today with a bit of classic Bond/Tom Jones action…

Best of luck if you are getting involved

Ben (BDH)

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BDH Sunday Runner: D&D aiming for an Irish Jig?

Hopefully D&D will have the luck of the Irish!

We make a very rare foray across the Irish Sea for a BDH qualifier today, with one of our squad taking to the track in the Irish Cambridgeshire at Curragh.

Before that, however, just a few thoughts on Yesterday’s runners…

DUNGANNON – 205 Sandown

An each-way bet was suggested and he finished a fine and dandy…4th! Would have been fine if the full 16 had gone to post…but they didn’t, we had 2 non-runners. The race pace played out a bit muddling, didn’t really suit our lad and the gaps did not appear when needed. That’s racing, however, and there are no excuses here.

I’m still not convinced by the Sandown draw but it could be argued that Dunny ran well again from a poor draw…

THUNDERBALL – 255 Chester

He was a no bet for us anyway as he pretty much had nothing in his favour here and as predicted he ran like it. Hopefully, however, it will give us a massive price next time out, if of course he fits our criteria.

Now onto today’s BDH qualifier…

Sunday BDH Runner: DANCE AND DANCE – 445 Curragh

To be fair I wasn’t really expecting him to appear in Ireland but kudos for connection for looking a bit further afield in their bid to get him back in the winners enclosure.

The return to 1 mile is a positive move for me, in my opinion that’s where he is most effective at these days.

Ryan Moore back in the plate is also a huge bonus. His record on D&D is a rather fetching 12240. Moore also has a solid record at the track with 9 wins from 31 for a 29% S/R.

He runs well when returning after a break of 15 days or less and has proven in the past that he runs very well in large fields.

It’s a tough race to try and win, with more than a few unexposed sorts going into battle, but back at a mile and with Moore in the saddle I’m happy to pitch in again on D&D.

I’ll be honest though we can’t keep giving D&D that many more chances, his days may well be numbered as a fully paid up member of the BDH squad…

Ben (BDH)

 

BDH Saturday runners: Dunny ready to do the business?

Google tells me this scary little fella is also called Dunny!?

Two of our BDH squad take to the field on Saturday so no time for any wiffle-waffle, lets get stuck into my thoughts on them both…

BDH Runner: DUNGANNON – 205 Sandown

Fist things first we have him back on the track within that all important 28 day window; 17 days since his last start will do just dandy.

Back down at 5 furlongs is also a good move in my opinion; that will do just fine for me as well.

Ground should be OK and track configuration should also be within the ballpark.

Draw, however, I have a wee question mark. I don’t think middle is ideal in large fields at Sandown over the 5f. To be honest I think straight track blitzes at Sandown are tricky, they don’t always play out how I expect them to. However, lets take it that this one will play out like normal I have the pace coming from the high stalls (boxes 12 & 13) and that should, hopefully, play to the hands of our boy DUNGANNON.

At the projected 10-1 odds I’ll have a bit of him each-way. He is well handicapped and is returning within the correct time-frame; it’s time for Dunny to do the business for us!

BDH Runner: THUNDERBALL- 255 Chester

In my own words…

“Essentially we are looking for 6 furlongs and soft” – Here we have 7 and 1/2 furlongs and Good!

“He is yet to prove he is up to winning a really valuable contest (20k+) but if he gets his conditions it would not be hard to see him running well in such a race” – This is worth 28k to the winner and he doesn’t look to have conditions!

“4 of his 5 turf wins have come on a straight track and although that condition isn’t a necessity it probably is preferable” – This is round the tight Left-Handed Chester track!

His stall draw would be average as well.

Yeah I think I will leave him here to be honest!!

If he somehow wins this you will probably hear my yells of “How the F**K did he win that” from wherever you are in the universe!!

Best of luck if you are getting involved.

FREE BDH Handicap Sleepers Guide

Hopefully you all managed to download the free guide I sent out yesterday. If you haven’t yet then find yesterday’s email that I sent out and grab the guide now, it’s well worth your time (if I don’t say so myself).

As you will have noticed there were 2 qualifiers from the guide running on Friday but neither of them were running under preferred conditions (so no bet). Both soundly beaten as well so an even bigger and better price on offer (hopefully!) when they do meet their ideal conditions next time.

If you want to grab this in-depth and FREE guide (all 21 pages of it!!) then head to the following page and pop your details into the sign-up form…

>>>Register for your FREE BDH Handicap Sleepers Guide

*The FREE Guide is on the FREE BDH Guides page not the Free NTF Guides page. Both links will be sent to you in the same email.

Cheers – Ben (BDH)

BDH Update: The Doctor’s on call at Sandown…

Time for the Doctor to strut his stuff!

Quick post today guys as we have one BDH runner going to war for us…

BDH runner: 2:20 Sandown – DOCTOR PARKES

The 7yo is making a relatively quick return from his Chester run last Saturday but in fairness jockey Harry Bentley eased up a touch on him in the final furlong and he didn’t really have an overly hard race that day.

He should get his ground at Sandown today as the going is currently described as Good and a quick look at the weather forecast tells me it is set fair for the day, in fact it looks like the sun will be out in all his glory. Providing that weather forecast is correct (!?!) then I would expect the ground to firm up rather than soften down, which is ideal for the Doctor. He has a prime draw in the 2 box (actually the hottest box over this trip at Sandown in these fields sizes), is on a decent mark, is racing over his preferred 5f and the yard are hitting form. He is also currently available at an each-way price, if you are that way inclined.

There are enough boxes ticked here for me to get involved although, as always, I will be keeping a close eye on the weather to make sure there is no unexpected rain coming in to spoil the day.

Best of luck if you are getting involved.

Ben (BDH)