Betfred Ebor Handicap Dosage & Trends Analysis

Can O’Meara’s form continue through to the big one?

Well it’s safe to say that it was all bets off on Dinkum Diamond on waking up on Friday morning! On writing my article it was looking great, he was set to race on his favoured Good to Firm ground. On clicking publish on the post news started to reach me that the heavens had opened over the Knavesmire, a quick check of Twitter confirmed that York was indeed being swamped by biblical style rain. On waking up a quick check of the going confirmed we were looking at Good to Soft. Gun back in it’s holster and trigger not pulled on the Dinkum Diamond bet. It’s a royal pain in the ass but he was never going to win on that ground and I was never going to waste my money on him under those conditions. Frustrating…

In the race itself I DID back SHEA SHEA & ROSDHU QUEEN. For a brief moment I though our main selection was going to get up but he just wasn’t getting there. Did the rain softened/rain lashed ground blunt his speed? Probably, but that’s racing. He wouldn’t be as dependent on Good to Firm as, say, Dinkum D so for all it was an inconvenience I wouldn’t use it as an excuse, he only went down by 1/2 a length after all.

But what of the winner JWALA? A surprise winner? My first reaction was yes but once I looked at my own figures I had to say no, not so much. On my final figures she sat in the next group down from the shortlist (along with Tickled Pink) with a combined score of 12/16. Once the full subscription service kicks in over the jumps I will probably look to include all combined scores within the guide for subscribers to use.

Going forward from the race DINKUM DIAMOND remains on the BDH list. It was pretty clear after all my Good to Firm waffling yesterday that come the morning of the race he was a no-bet for us and we should read nothing more into it other than conditions went completely against him. We may be hard pushed to get on him in a Good to Firm 5f race before the season is out but we live in hope and, as always, at the mercy of the Great British weather…

Ebor Handicap full Analysis Guide…

I feel we are in for another bit of weather watching for Saturday’s action on the Knavesmire as the weather forecast is for more heavy rain to lash the track. Whether it will be in as quite so biblical proportions as Thursday night is another matter but there is plenty forecast and I would urge you to keep an eye on the skies.

It looks a competitive affair (naturally) and as well as my selections in the guide I also have the David O’Meara trained TROPICAL BEAT running for me. If you remember he was the selection in my rare ante-post analysis for the Ebor back on the 14th of August. He was readily available at 25/1 back then and now sits on the much tighter price of 10/1. So far so good on the ante-post front then as he a) is actually lining up and b) he is much shorter in the market than he was when I backed him 10 days ago. In my experience it doesn’t always work out that way!!

Anyway enough of my jibber jabber, the full BDH analysis guide is available for you all to download from the following link…

>>>Free Betfred Ebor Handicap Analysis Guide

As always you don’t have to side with my selections, there is plenty of analysis in the guide that you can utilize for your own thoughts and workings.

Best of luck if you are getting involved and remember, keep an eye ont’ weather!

NTF Fantasy Football League…

Many thanks to all of you that joined the Fantasy League last week. There is around 40 of us in it so that should be great fun to follow as the football season bobs along.

If you still want to join the league then head to http://fantasy.premierleague.com and in the ‘LEAGUES’ tab enter my code – 1170033-369849.

It’s all good fun in the NTF league but in the overall league you can win some tasty prizes. It’s all free to enter and worth a shot if your a footie fan.

Sky Bet Super-6 – £250,000 to the winner!

Did any of you come close last week?! I probably did the best I have ever done with 2 correct scorelines and 1 correct result!!

I was having a dig about the site and it turns out you can create a private league within the main game…so that’s what I have done!

All you do is sign-in to the Super 6 site, head to the ‘Leagues’ tab, click on ‘join a league’ and enter the code 2Q2M8S.

Lets see if one of us can land the main prize, but if not let’s see who is at least best at predicting the scores!

You need a SKYBET account to play the FREE Super 6 game, if you don’t have one then sign up here today.

Cheers – Ben (BDH)

BDH Update: Jack delivers but we wait on the Doctor…

Jack does just enough at Newcastle.

Just a quick update on a couple of BDH runners that took to the track over the weekend. I was actually away in Wales for a couple of days on a mini tour with Mrs NTF (She doesn’t want to switch names between Mrs NTF & Mrs BDH…so she remains as Mrs NTF on here!!) and just didn’t have the time/coverage to post them on here before they ran.

Both runners took the track on Saturday, one had his conditions whilst the other didn’t quite have his conditions….

JACK DEXTER – 29-06-13 Newcastle 2.05 Betfred Chipchase Stakes

I was slightly surprised to see this boy out so quickly after his Ascot run but it was obviously too good an opportunity for connections to pass up, especially as the rain had opened up the ground for him. The conditions were correct for us to get involved, being that it was over 6f and on ground with cut in it. The price was admittedly a bit skinny but he did the job with just enough to spare. I though Graham Lee gave him a fine ride as the horse had very little cover in the small field and Lee had to produce at just the right time, which he did.

The horse remains on the BDH list, he is obviously in fine fettle and fingers crossed he can get plenty of underfoot cut in future assignments.

DOCTOR PARKES – 29-06-13 Chester 2.45 Ma Kelly’s Blackpool Handicap

The ground was Good to Soft here and we really want at least Good ground before we get our money down; this was a no bet for me. He also had a relatively poor draw from stall 8. The upside of this lackluster run was that he was dropped another 1lb by the handicapper, always good for when we get him on his favoured conditions.

He remains on the BDH list.

Ben (BDH)