BDH Qualifier: “They call him the winner who takes all”…
…well hopefully that’s what we will be calling him at the end of the day anyway!!
Yes, we have a BDH qualifier hitting the track at Doncaster on day 2 of the St Leger meeting and for those of you that are not James Bond/Tom Jones fans and haven’t guessed who it is from the lyrical reference in the title it’s…
BDH Runner: THUNDERBALL 4.25 Doncaster (12-09-13)
My stipulations for this guy were 6 furlongs and Soft going with small preferences for a straight track and a race worth less than 20k to the winner. Here he meets 3 of those conditions (6f, straight track & race worth less than 20k) and won’t be far off meeting the ground requirements. The ground is described as Good to Soft for day 2 of the 2013 St Leger meeting and there is rain forecast for Wednesday night and Thursday evening, all in all it should lead to damp-ish conditions and ground with some sort of cut in it, perfect for our BDH warrior. Obviously the more rain the better for our lad.
On the pace/draw side of thing we are berthed in a handy slot in stall 16. The pace looks middle to high and that puts us bang there.
Here is the pace map for the 6f contest…
There looks very little in the way of pace-setters down low so that should play to the hooves of those drawn middle to high, of which THUNDERBALL is one of them.
What else do we have in our favour? Well he has been dropped 2lbs since his last run at Chester. He ran poorly there but that was under conditions that were not anywhere near optimum; drop in the weights is very welcome, thank you very much Mr Handicapper.
Tom Queally gets the ride here and he gets on well with the 7yo; form figures of 01681 when teaming up and the horse’s best RPR figure of 99 was recorded with Queally on board.
THUNDERBALL is also a dual Course & Distance winner so we can be happy with the fact that he acts on the track.
I will be backing this BDH warrior here. He looks to have plenty in his favour and as already mentioned any further softening of the ground will only aid his cause. With 22 runners set to lash down the Donny straight I will probably look to have a bit of E/W cover on him.
The one downside is that he looks like he is already being backed (I’m writing this at 6.30 on Wednesday evening!). First prices were favourable, there was 16-1 being banded about by a few of the bookmakers. However, he is being cut across the board and at time of writing 12-1 looks the best price available. I actually witnessed Bet365 cut him from 16-1 to 10-1 in one vicious swipe!! Paddy Power are even going as low as 9-1! Tight gits!
I’ll leave you today with a bit of classic Bond/Tom Jones action…
Best of luck if you are getting involved